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News » Aug 2003

Icos Stock Drops on Mixed Report
August  06, 2003

By Luke Timmerman
Seattle Times business reporter

Icos wants to captivate the imaginations of men around the world, but it appears to be doing better in Europe than on Wall Street.

Icos, the Bothell biotech company that is teaming with Eli Lilly to introduce the impotence drug Cialis, reported mixed results yesterday for its second quarter. On the bright side, it said Cialis grabbed significant market share from Viagra in its first full quarter on the European market, but sales were weaker than some expected. The company also said it expected to lose more money next year, about $3 a share, in the heat of the worldwide Cialis marketing fight.

Icos stock dropped 9 percent after the news, ending after-hours trading at $36.

For the second quarter, Cialis had $37 million in sales in the 40 countries where it has been approved. That figure was up from about $22 million in the first quarter. But in Europe, where Icos splits Cialis sales evenly with Lilly, the growth wasn't as steep: Cialis had $22 million in European sales in the second quarter, up from $17 million in the first quarter.

In a conference call with analysts, Icos managers tried to draw attention to numbers they think bode well for the drug's future. They also said they believe the company will win approval in the world's biggest impotence market, the U.S., by year's end.

Although Cialis has been on the market in Europe only a few months, Leonard Blum, Icos' vice president of sales and marketing, said market research firm IMS Health shows it is grabbing market share there from Viagra. Cialis first became available in Europe in February, and a third competitor, Levitra, followed a month later.

By May, Blum said Viagra had 57 percent of the impotence-drug market in Germany; Cialis had 29 percent; and Levitra had 14 percent. For the same month in France, Viagra had 67 percent; Cialis, 25 percent; and Levitra, 8 percent.

In the United Kingdom, a market that typically takes longer to switch to new drugs, Viagra had 86 percent; Cialis, 12 percent; and Levitra, 2 percent.

Phil Nadeau, an analyst with SG Cowen Securities, which has done investment banking with Icos, said Wall Street will worry about the unpredictability of a new drug that's in a three-way sales and marketing fight and that some patients are experimenting with.

It is also hard to measure how much of the sales are attributable to pharmacy stocking, and how much can be traced to direct demand from patients, he said.

Financially, Icos reported a narrower-than-expected quarterly loss, partly because it received a $21 million payment from a research partnership. But the red ink is expected to keep flowing. Chief Financial Officer Mike Stein added the company believes it will take at least two to three years to turn a quarterly profit.

Luke Timmerman: 206-515-5644 or ltimmerman@seattletimes.com


Icos results
Figures in parentheses are losses
%
2nd qtr June 30, 2003 2002 Chg
Profit ($11,548,000) ($40,405,000) +71.4
Per share (0.19) (0.66) +71.2
Sales 26,707,000 21,975,000 +21.5
First half
Profit ($52,040,000) ($79,625,000) +34.6
Per share (0.84) (1.31) +35.8
Sales 33,788,000 44,511,000 -24.1

source:-http://seattletimes.nwsource.com

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